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Red14
75354.1
543120.2
1034023.2
Blue46
881813.5
464118.2
1031219.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544002060801001201446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+38
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +31
1Coral scored#7
2Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
2Total teleop33
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#1
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#10
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
14Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.24.0
19.915.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.3
End1.7
red by 4.0
19.20.4
10.911.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Second
5431
#17
20.24.0
21.717.7
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
red by 1.9
4641
#14
18.20.6
19.620.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Third
7535
#31
4.14.0
8.34.3
Auto1.5
Teleop1.0
End1.6
blue by 9.3
8818
#18
13.50.6
9.810.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed