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Red113
543120.2
284833.0
910547.0
Blue27
75354.1
70918.3
32826.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111005010015011327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+76Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
16Coral scored#4
58Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
76Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#2
8L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
113Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.9
38.640.4
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
red by 38.7
7091
#26
8.30.3
8.38.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Second
33.01.9
36.138.0
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.5
red by 26.9
3282
#22
6.10.3
8.58.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Third
5431
#17
20.21.9
17.719.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
red by 16.0
7535
#31
4.10.3
4.34.6
Auto1.5
Teleop1.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed