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Red101
464118.2
912848.7
420622.5
Blue103
415318.9
1001421.9
949232.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105560150101103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
67Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
101Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.2
46.846.7
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
red by 15.8
32.93.4
27.831.2
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
Second
4206
#25
22.50.2
25.124.9
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
red by 0.6
21.93.7
17.521.2
Auto1.9
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Third
4641
#14
18.20.2
20.220.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
blue by 0.7
18.93.4
12.716.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned