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Red85
94578.4
541145.4
873221.0
Blue100
1034023.2
1031219.2
617114.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78340206010012014016085100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+9Endgame
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
58Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points24
85Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.6
37.238.8
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
red by 22.2
23.23.9
15.919.8
Auto4.2
Teleop17.3
End1.7
Second
8732
#13
21.01.1
20.621.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.3
End1.9
red by 1.8
19.22.5
11.313.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Third
9457
#30
8.41.6
11.413.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.1
blue by 6.2
6171
#16
14.63.9
10.914.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed