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Red67
881813.5
711925.5
543120.2
Blue126
419225.5
331039.1
910547.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47106015067126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+37
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points39
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
50Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
67Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7119
#10
25.51.0
21.622.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.6
blue by 21.5
47.02.4
40.442.8
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Second
5431
#17
20.21.0
19.620.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
blue by 18.9
39.11.6
35.637.2
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
Third
8818
#18
13.51.1
10.511.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 12.1
4192
#24
25.52.7
19.522.2
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned