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Red91
910547.0
617114.6
912848.7
Blue41
676811.5
419225.5
94578.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126410501001502009141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+44Teleop
+42Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
43Total teleop20
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
14Foul points6
91Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.72.7
48.946.2
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
red by 23.2
4192
#24
25.51.3
25.824.5
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Second
47.02.7
42.840.1
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
red by 35.6
6768
#29
11.51.3
12.110.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
Third
6171
#16
14.62.7
15.412.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End0.5
red by 6.2
9457
#30
8.41.2
10.39.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed