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Red11
652614.2
32826.1
33557.6
Blue73
1034023.2
464118.2
881813.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2461040801001201173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+56
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +50
1Coral scored#8
5Coral points29
0Processor algae#3
0Net algae#2
0Processor points18
0Net points8
0Algae points26
5Total teleop55
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
11Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6526
#21
14.21.2
15.113.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End0.9
blue by 9.0
23.21.9
20.222.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.3
End1.7
Second
3355
#27
7.61.4
8.36.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 10.7
4641
#14
18.21.9
17.419.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Third
3282
#22
6.11.6
5.33.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 7.3
8818
#18
13.51.7
14.416.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed