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Red100
129641.3
881615.9
541145.4
Blue65
949232.9
420622.5
75354.1
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10163020408012014016010065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points44
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
67Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points0
100Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.4
38.639.0
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
red by 12.5
32.90.4
32.432.8
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
Second
41.30.3
39.439.7
Auto7.0
Teleop25.0
End9.3
red by 18.8
4206
#25
22.50.4
23.223.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Third
8816
#20
15.90.4
11.011.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
red by 11.8
7535
#31
4.10.4
4.75.1
Auto1.5
Teleop1.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed