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Red88
1031219.2
910547.0
711925.5
Blue100
331039.1
617114.6
415318.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906702040608010012014016088100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
20Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
62Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
88Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.6
40.140.7
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
red by 7.9
39.12.2
37.639.8
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
Second
7119
#10
25.50.6
23.924.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.6
red by 6.6
18.92.6
15.317.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.8
Third
19.20.5
17.117.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
red by 4.6
6171
#16
14.62.6
12.815.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned