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Red54
915614.1
711925.5
33557.6
Blue98
32826.1
910547.0
541145.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399602060801201401605498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+46
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +36
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
22Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
54Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7119
#10
25.50.7
24.525.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.6
blue by 21.5
47.01.0
40.741.7
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Second
9156
#28
14.10.7
13.514.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 31.2
45.41.0
39.040.0
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Third
3355
#27
7.60.7
6.97.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
red by 1.5
3282
#22
6.11.0
5.26.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned