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Red58
568212.6
652614.2
1031219.2
Blue44
94578.4
420622.5
750610.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4746404550555844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
5Coral scored#4
19Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
27Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
14Foul points2
58Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.0
17.617.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
blue by 3.3
4206
#25
22.50.0
23.623.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Second
6526
#21
14.20.0
13.513.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End0.9
red by 4.0
7506
#19
10.20.0
9.99.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
5682
#15
12.60.0
12.212.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.6
red by 4.2
9457
#30
8.40.0
8.38.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed