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Red43
75354.1
284833.0
676811.5
Blue65
70918.3
1001421.9
1034023.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5657203040507080904365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +34
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
23Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
43Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.0
33.632.6
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.5
red by 9.8
23.20.7
22.723.4
Auto4.2
Teleop17.3
End1.7
Second
6768
#29
11.51.1
11.810.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 10.4
21.90.8
19.420.2
Auto1.9
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Third
7535
#31
4.11.0
5.14.1
Auto1.5
Teleop1.0
End1.6
blue by 4.2
7091
#26
8.30.8
7.58.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed