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Red44
464118.2
419225.5
617114.6
Blue113
543120.2
949232.9
14863.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58135010015020044113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+67
Endgame+69
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +60
6Coral scored#17
23Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
33Total teleop93
Reef
2L4#8
3L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points0
44Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#24
25.51.4
25.223.8
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
blue by 37.7
148
#1
63.30.2
62.862.6
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
Second
4641
#14
18.21.3
20.719.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
blue by 14.6
32.90.2
32.832.5
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
Third
6171
#16
14.61.3
15.414.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 5.6
5431
#17
20.20.2
20.620.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsMissed