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Red83
676811.5
331039.1
14863.3
Blue15
420622.5
881813.5
464118.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1295501001502008315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
9Coral scored#0
33Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
0Processor points0
16Net points0
16Algae points0
49Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points2
83Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
63.30.6
62.662.0
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
red by 40.8
4206
#25
22.51.0
23.622.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Second
39.10.6
38.537.8
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
red by 20.9
4641
#14
18.21.0
19.418.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Third
6768
#29
11.50.7
10.710.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 2.0
8818
#18
13.51.0
14.613.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4