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Red126
617114.6
912848.7
129641.3
Blue88
419225.5
1031219.2
1001421.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1206005010015012688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+30Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
75Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#6
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
126Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.5
48.348.8
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
red by 23.2
4192
#24
25.50.7
23.824.4
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Second
41.30.5
40.841.3
Auto7.0
Teleop25.0
End9.3
red by 19.4
21.90.7
20.220.8
Auto1.9
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Third
6171
#16
14.60.5
14.114.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 4.6
19.20.6
17.618.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8