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Red146
676811.5
331039.1
14863.3
Blue83
949232.9
568212.6
284833.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125795010015020014683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points23
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +33
20Coral scored#11
72Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
86Total teleop53
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points0
146Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
63.30.7
62.062.6
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
red by 30.2
33.00.1
32.532.6
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.5
Second
39.10.7
37.838.5
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
red by 6.2
32.90.1
32.332.5
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
Third
6768
#29
11.50.7
10.010.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 1.1
5682
#15
12.60.1
12.012.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.6