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Red116
617114.6
912848.7
129641.3
Blue113
541145.4
910547.0
881615.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11299406080120140160180116113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
78Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
116Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.1
48.848.9
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
red by 1.7
47.00.4
42.743.1
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Second
41.30.1
41.341.4
Auto7.0
Teleop25.0
End9.3
blue by 4.1
45.40.4
41.141.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Third
6171
#16
14.60.1
14.614.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 1.3
8816
#20
15.90.4
11.812.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5