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Red90
949232.9
568212.6
284833.0
Blue75
419225.5
1031219.2
1001421.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89720501001509075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
0Processor points6
16Net points12
16Algae points18
72Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
90Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.2
32.632.8
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.5
red by 7.5
4192
#24
25.50.1
25.425.5
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Second
32.90.2
32.532.7
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
red by 11.0
21.90.1
21.721.9
Auto1.9
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Third
5682
#15
12.60.2
12.212.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.6
blue by 6.6
19.20.1
19.019.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8