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Red154
541145.4
910547.0
881615.9
Blue47
415318.9
1034023.2
543120.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1076205015015447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+79Teleop
+99Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +57
19Coral scored#6
67Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
85Total teleop28
Reef
10L4#3
5L3#2
8L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#10
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +107
8Foul points0
154Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.1
43.144.2
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
red by 23.8
23.20.4
23.623.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.3
End1.7
Second
45.41.1
41.442.5
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
red by 25.2
5431
#17
20.20.4
20.520.2
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Third
8816
#20
15.91.2
12.213.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
blue by 3.0
18.90.4
19.318.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.8