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Red224
680081.2
118101.1
918124.7
Blue149
384741.0
288151.7
999430.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23611550150200300350224149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave6
12Coral scored#5
59Coral points24
65Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +30
24Coral scored#22
85Coral points79
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
24Processor points12
24Net points12
48Algae points24
133Total teleop103
Reef
13L4#6
11L3#11
5L2#7
7L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
224Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.10.4
100.7101.1
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
red by 49.3
51.70.6
51.151.7
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
Second
81.20.4
80.881.2
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
red by 40.2
3847
#19
41.00.6
40.441.0
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Third
9181
#34
24.70.4
24.324.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End8.2
blue by 5.6
9994
#21
30.30.8
29.530.3
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8