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Red246
680081.2
851521.9
118101.1
Blue149
384741.0
288151.7
999430.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22911450150200250300350246149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+75Teleop
+97Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +61
29Coral scored#20
106Coral points71
6Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
36Processor points18
24Net points16
60Algae points34
166Total teleop105
Reef
11L4#11
10L3#6
10L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points0
246Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.11.0
99.6100.7
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
red by 49.3
51.70.7
50.551.1
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
Second
81.21.0
79.880.8
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
red by 40.2
3847
#19
41.00.7
39.740.4
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Third
8515
#24
21.91.0
20.921.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End3.2
blue by 8.4
9994
#21
30.30.9
28.629.5
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8