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Red154
463562.9
542726.9
876928.3
Blue160
384741.0
288151.7
999430.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712680100120140160154160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+32
Endgame+30
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points41
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +11
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
91Total teleop102
Reef
9L4#13
6L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
24Foul points0
154Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
62.90.3
62.662.9
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End9.3
red by 11.2
51.71.0
49.550.5
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
Second
28.30.3
28.028.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.9
End3.3
blue by 12.7
3847
#19
41.01.0
38.739.7
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Third
5427
#17
26.90.3
26.626.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
blue by 3.5
9994
#21
30.31.3
27.328.6
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8