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Red161
769126.2
23149.2
118101.1
Blue44
373523.9
458711.5
147725.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1999305015025030016144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+109Teleop
+119Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +92
19Coral scored#5
67Coral points19
4Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
24Processor points0
28Net points8
52Algae points8
119Total teleop27
Reef
8L4#2
8L3#2
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +117
0Foul points2
161Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.10.4
97.096.7
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
red by 75.4
1477
#36
25.74.1
52.748.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
Second
231
#3
49.20.4
54.153.7
Auto6.8
Teleop33.6
End8.8
red by 25.3
3735
#39
23.94.1
38.634.5
Auto6.0
Teleop16.6
End1.3
Third
26.20.4
15.315.0
Auto3.3
Teleop22.3
End0.6
red by 14.7
4587
#30
11.54.1
12.07.9
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed