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Red34
837017.3
742130.8
951223.0
Blue178
680081.2
62461.0
857631.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8522105010015020025030035034178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+134
Endgame+156
Fouls+144
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +110
2Coral scored#16
8Coral points58
0Processor algae#4
1Net algae#10
0Processor points24
4Net points40
4Algae points64
12Total teleop122
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#6
1L2#5
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +144
12Foul points0
34Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7421
#31
30.84.8
40.635.8
Auto8.0
Teleop20.3
End2.5
blue by 50.4
81.20.3
79.679.2
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
Second
9512
#29
23.04.8
27.722.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End0.8
blue by 38.0
624
#5
61.00.3
58.558.2
Auto13.0
Teleop44.0
End4.1
Third
8370
#37
17.34.8
25.320.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 14.3
8576
#25
31.60.3
44.944.6
Auto2.9
Teleop22.4
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned