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Red106
680081.2
731228.3
769126.2
Blue59
40104.4
589241.9
384741.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401175010015020010659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +32
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
62Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#4
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
106Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.21.3
79.277.9
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
red by 39.3
5892
#22
41.93.5
58.254.7
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End2.9
Second
7312
#20
28.31.3
31.930.5
Auto5.2
Teleop21.3
End1.8
blue by 12.7
3847
#19
41.03.5
43.740.2
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Third
26.21.3
15.013.6
Auto3.3
Teleop22.3
End0.6
red by 21.9
4010
#23
4.43.9
9.65.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed