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Red79
258726.5
258234.9
951223.0
Blue116
918124.7
999430.3
999130.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969640608012014079116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points29
37Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +33
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
38Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
79Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#10
34.90.6
36.135.5
Auto8.7
Teleop20.4
End5.9
red by 4.0
9991
#11
30.95.8
17.923.7
Auto6.0
Teleop22.2
End2.5
Second
2587
#18
26.50.6
29.428.8
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End2.1
blue by 3.8
9994
#21
30.35.8
17.022.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8
Third
9512
#29
23.00.6
22.922.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End0.8
blue by 1.7
9181
#34
24.73.5
28.732.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned