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Red103
284844.1
857631.6
913725.9
Blue119
542726.9
582931.1
147725.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130129105110115120125135103119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
74Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points50
103Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#35
44.11.1
45.544.4
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End0.5
red by 13.0
5829
#13
31.13.2
39.035.8
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End7.5
Second
8576
#25
31.61.1
44.643.4
Auto2.9
Teleop22.4
End6.3
red by 4.7
5427
#17
26.93.2
30.026.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Third
9137
#26
25.91.1
29.928.7
Auto3.9
Teleop20.9
End1.0
red by 0.2
1477
#36
25.73.2
48.745.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsMissed