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Red103
463562.9
876928.3
837017.3
Blue130
664736.5
62461.0
541438.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122161050100150200250103130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#21
57Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
77Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#6
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
103Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
62.90.7
70.770.1
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End9.3
red by 1.9
624
#5
61.00.8
57.957.1
Auto13.0
Teleop44.0
End4.1
Second
28.30.7
20.319.7
Auto4.1
Teleop20.9
End3.3
blue by 9.8
5414
#16
38.10.8
39.538.7
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End3.1
Third
8370
#37Sur
17.30.7
21.921.2
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 19.2
6647
#15Sur
36.50.8
44.643.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed