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Red88
624324.4
288151.7
590821.9
Blue105
635753.3
384741.0
23149.2
8%Model gave it92%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9717305015020025088105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+25
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
22Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points33
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
56Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
8Foul points0
88Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#6Sur
51.71.2
46.345.2
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
blue by 1.5
53.33.3
60.457.1
Auto10.6
Teleop33.9
End8.7
Second
6243
#28
24.41.2
29.127.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
blue by 24.8
231
#3
49.23.3
53.450.1
Auto6.8
Teleop33.6
End8.8
Third
5908
#32
21.91.2
22.020.8
Auto3.2
Teleop17.7
End1.0
blue by 19.1
3847
#19
41.03.3
40.237.0
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned