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Red55
951223.0
999130.9
458711.5
Blue76
749244.2
43282.7
851521.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549801502005576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points18
15Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
38Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
55Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9991
#11
30.90.0
23.723.7
Auto6.0
Teleop22.2
End2.5
blue by 13.3
44.20.3
45.745.4
Auto9.8
Teleop32.9
End1.6
Second
9512
#29
23.00.0
22.322.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End0.8
red by 1.1
8515
#24
21.90.3
20.520.2
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End3.2
Third
4587
#30
11.50.0
8.68.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 8.8
4328
#38
2.70.3
11.211.0
Auto1.6
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed