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Red92
769126.2
542726.9
40104.4
Blue73
999430.3
817739.1
742130.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341280501001502002509273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
13Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
73Total teleop45
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
2Foul points0
92Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#17
26.92.9
26.729.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
blue by 12.2
8177
#12
39.11.6
41.139.5
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End6.2
Second
26.22.9
13.616.5
Auto3.3
Teleop22.3
End0.6
blue by 4.5
7421
#31
30.81.6
33.331.7
Auto8.0
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Third
4010
#23
4.42.9
5.78.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End-0.2
blue by 26.0
9994
#21
30.32.7
22.920.2
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed