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Red140
589241.9
284844.1
680081.2
Blue171
118101.1
913725.9
42957.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19114650100250140171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+25
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
19Coral scored#28
70Coral points99
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
90Total teleop121
Reef
10L4#10
6L3#8
8L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points6
140Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.22.5
77.975.4
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
blue by 19.9
118
#1
101.12.6
93.596.1
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
Second
2848
#35
44.12.5
44.441.9
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End0.5
red by 18.2
9137
#26
25.92.6
28.731.3
Auto3.9
Teleop20.9
End1.0
Third
5892
#22
41.92.5
54.752.2
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End2.9
red by 34.8
4295
#33
7.12.6
4.26.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned