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Red61
258726.5
147725.7
384741.0
Blue117
463923.0
635753.3
62461.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11615805010020061117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +31
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
35Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
2Foul points0
61Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#19
41.03.5
37.033.5
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
blue by 20.0
624
#5
61.01.5
57.155.6
Auto13.0
Teleop44.0
End4.1
Second
2587
#18
26.53.5
28.825.3
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End2.1
blue by 26.7
53.31.5
57.155.6
Auto10.6
Teleop33.9
End8.7
Third
1477
#36
25.73.5
45.441.9
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
red by 2.7
4639
#27
23.01.5
25.824.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed60%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned