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Red98
664736.5
258234.9
624324.4
Blue50
590821.9
458711.5
731228.3
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1285301001502009850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
66Total teleop35
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
98Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#15
36.50.5
43.843.3
Auto6.8
Teleop26.9
End2.8
red by 8.2
7312
#20
28.30.5
28.528.0
Auto5.2
Teleop21.3
End1.8
Second
2582
#10
34.90.5
33.533.0
Auto8.7
Teleop20.4
End5.9
red by 13.0
5908
#32
21.90.5
20.820.3
Auto3.2
Teleop17.7
End1.0
Third
6243
#28
24.40.5
27.927.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
red by 12.9
4587
#30
11.50.5
8.68.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed