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Red26
43282.7
918124.7
589241.9
Blue44
40104.4
147725.7
463562.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851370501002002503002644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +32
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
0Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
26Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#22
41.93.9
51.547.6
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End2.9
blue by 21.0
4635
#14
62.94.6
67.062.4
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End9.3
Second
9181
#34
24.73.9
25.321.4
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End8.2
blue by 0.9
1477
#36
25.74.6
37.032.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
Third
4328
#38
2.73.9
7.94.0
Auto1.6
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 1.6
4010
#23
4.44.6
8.74.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed