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Red107
23149.2
731228.3
664736.5
Blue90
284844.1
541438.1
837017.3
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1319205015020010790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
+3Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave3
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points31
12Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +25
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points38
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#4
12Processor points0
20Net points16
32Algae points16
79Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
107Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#3
49.20.6
47.446.8
Auto6.8
Teleop33.6
End8.8
red by 5.1
2848
#35
44.10.2
42.242.0
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End0.5
Second
6647
#15
36.50.6
41.140.5
Auto6.8
Teleop26.9
End2.8
blue by 1.6
5414
#16
38.10.2
35.735.6
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End3.1
Third
7312
#20
28.30.6
27.526.9
Auto5.2
Teleop21.3
End1.8
red by 11.0
8370
#37
17.30.2
14.714.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed