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Red21
147725.7
624324.4
851521.9
Blue110
258726.5
999430.3
589241.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8111505010015020021110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+71
Endgame+71
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +54
3Coral scored#13
10Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
10Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points18
21Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#36
25.73.8
32.528.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
blue by 16.3
5892
#22
41.90.1
47.647.8
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End2.9
Second
6243
#28
24.43.8
26.222.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
blue by 5.9
9994
#21
30.30.2
20.520.7
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8
Third
8515
#24
21.93.8
19.215.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End3.2
blue by 4.6
2587
#18
26.50.1
21.721.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned