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Red23
43282.7
40104.4
373523.9
Blue79
913725.9
590821.9
463923.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29900501001502379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +35
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
10Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points18
23Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#39
23.90.7
25.024.3
Auto6.0
Teleop16.6
End1.3
blue by 1.9
9137
#26
25.90.9
26.525.6
Auto3.9
Teleop20.9
End1.0
Second
4010
#23
4.40.7
4.13.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End-0.2
blue by 18.6
4639
#27
23.00.9
25.724.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Third
4328
#38
2.70.7
4.03.3
Auto1.6
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 19.2
5908
#32
21.90.9
21.720.8
Auto3.2
Teleop17.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed