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Red105
288151.7
749244.2
541438.1
Blue51
582931.1
624324.4
40104.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1598205010020025010551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+52Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#7
39Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
59Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
105Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.72.3
49.046.6
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
red by 20.6
5829
#13
31.12.4
41.439.0
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End7.5
Second
44.22.3
46.844.5
Auto9.8
Teleop32.9
End1.6
red by 19.8
6243
#28
24.42.4
30.828.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Third
5414
#16
38.12.3
41.238.9
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End3.1
red by 33.7
4010
#23
4.43.0
12.69.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed