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Red59
542726.9
913725.9
463562.9
Blue28
851521.9
731228.3
42957.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1765601001502002503005928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
42Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
59Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
62.95.9
75.469.5
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End9.3
red by 34.6
7312
#20
28.32.5
34.431.9
Auto5.2
Teleop21.3
End1.8
Second
5427
#17
26.95.9
35.830.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
red by 4.9
8515
#24
21.92.5
22.119.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End3.2
Third
9137
#26
25.95.9
35.729.9
Auto3.9
Teleop20.9
End1.0
red by 18.7
4295
#33
7.12.5
9.56.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed