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Red121
635753.3
147725.7
731228.3
Blue128
851521.9
288151.7
258234.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107106406080100120140121128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +4
15Coral scored#17
54Coral points62
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
18Processor points18
12Net points8
30Algae points26
84Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
121Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.0
50.651.6
Auto10.6
Teleop33.9
End8.7
red by 1.5
51.72.0
46.448.4
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
Second
7312
#20
28.31.0
26.927.9
Auto5.2
Teleop21.3
End1.8
blue by 6.6
2582
#10
34.92.0
35.637.7
Auto8.7
Teleop20.4
End5.9
Third
1477
#36
25.71.0
28.729.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
red by 3.8
8515
#24
21.92.0
15.417.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned