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Red135
876928.3
42957.1
680081.2
Blue83
458711.5
769126.2
918124.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1273305010015020013583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+52Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
89Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
135Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.22.1
77.079.2
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
red by 54.9
26.22.3
19.321.6
Auto3.3
Teleop22.3
End0.6
Second
28.32.1
20.222.4
Auto4.1
Teleop20.9
End3.3
red by 3.5
9181
#34
24.72.3
21.423.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End8.2
Third
4295
#33
7.12.1
5.77.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 4.4
4587
#30
11.52.3
7.39.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned