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Red118
582931.1
635753.3
590821.9
Blue69
769126.2
837017.3
913725.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11954010015020011869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+25Teleop
+47Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points33
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
58Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points4
118Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.7
51.652.3
Auto10.6
Teleop33.9
End8.7
red by 27.0
26.20.2
21.221.4
Auto3.3
Teleop22.3
End0.6
Second
5829
#13
31.10.7
28.028.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End7.5
red by 5.3
9137
#26
25.90.2
24.724.8
Auto3.9
Teleop20.9
End1.0
Third
5908
#32
21.90.7
21.622.3
Auto3.2
Teleop17.7
End1.0
red by 4.6
8370
#37
17.30.2
16.716.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed