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Red87
749244.2
664736.5
999130.9
Blue102
147725.7
680081.2
817739.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11517105015020025030035087102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+1Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points28
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
70Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points2
87Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.22.1
42.740.6
Auto9.8
Teleop32.9
End1.6
blue by 37.0
81.23.5
79.976.5
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
Second
6647
#15
36.52.1
39.937.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.9
End2.8
blue by 2.6
8177
#12
39.13.5
39.836.3
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End6.2
Third
9991
#11
30.93.3
33.430.1
Auto6.0
Teleop22.2
End2.5
red by 5.3
1477
#36
25.73.5
29.726.2
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned