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Red227
817739.1
118101.1
284844.1
Blue148
918124.7
463562.9
624324.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203103050150250227148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+89Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +68
37Coral scored#16
132Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
156Total teleop88
Reef
18L4#7
10L3#6
11L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
6Foul points6
227Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.12.8
95.998.7
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
red by 38.1
4635
#14
62.92.1
59.661.7
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End9.3
Second
2848
#35
44.12.8
41.143.8
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End0.5
red by 19.4
9181
#34
24.72.1
22.724.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End8.2
Third
8177
#12
39.12.8
36.339.1
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End6.2
red by 14.7
6243
#28
24.42.1
22.324.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned