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Red119
541438.1
951223.0
876928.3
Blue83
147725.7
590821.9
589241.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92912040608010012014011983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#12
52Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
80Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
119Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#16
38.12.7
35.237.9
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End3.1
blue by 3.8
5892
#22
41.90.4
40.840.4
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End2.9
Second
28.32.7
23.726.4
Auto4.1
Teleop20.9
End3.3
red by 2.6
1477
#36
25.70.4
26.225.8
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
Third
9512
#29
23.02.7
20.022.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End0.8
red by 1.1
5908
#32
21.90.4
22.321.9
Auto3.2
Teleop17.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed