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Red103
624324.4
541438.1
458711.5
Blue61
742130.8
463923.0
373523.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7210805015020025010361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+24Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
60Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
18Foul points0
103Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#16
38.10.7
38.939.5
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End3.1
red by 7.3
7421
#31
30.82.5
35.833.3
Auto8.0
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Second
6243
#28
24.40.7
28.429.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
red by 0.5
3735
#39
23.92.5
34.532.0
Auto6.0
Teleop16.6
End1.3
Third
4587
#30
11.50.7
7.98.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 11.5
4639
#27
23.02.5
28.325.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed