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Red154
23149.2
288151.7
62461.0
Blue24
42957.1
43282.7
817739.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19257010015025030015424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+120Teleop
+130Endgame
+130Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +109
22Coral scored#2
79Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#0
12Processor points0
24Net points0
36Algae points0
115Total teleop6
Reef
11L4#1
5L3#1
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
33Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +130
0Foul points0
154Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
61.00.3
58.257.9
Auto13.0
Teleop44.0
End4.1
red by 21.9
8177
#12
39.12.7
43.841.1
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End6.2
Second
51.70.3
46.646.3
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
red by 44.6
4295
#33
7.12.7
6.94.2
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Third
231
#3
49.20.3
53.753.4
Auto6.8
Teleop33.6
End8.8
red by 46.5
4328
#38
2.72.7
14.011.2
Auto1.6
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed