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Red155
635753.3
589241.9
749244.2
Blue119
541438.1
999130.9
284844.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15211150200250155119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
20Coral scored#17
73Coral points62
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
111Total teleop90
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points2
155Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.3
52.653.0
Auto10.6
Teleop33.9
End8.7
red by 9.2
2848
#35
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End0.5
Second
44.20.3
43.643.9
Auto9.8
Teleop32.9
End1.6
red by 6.1
5414
#16
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End3.1
Third
5892
#22
41.90.3
41.341.6
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End2.9
red by 11.0
9991
#11
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto6.0
Teleop22.2
End2.5