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Red180
680081.2
118101.1
918124.7
Blue152
463562.9
542726.9
876928.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239110050150200300350180152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +31
21Coral scored#13
74Coral points47
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
24Processor points12
12Net points20
36Algae points32
110Total teleop79
Reef
13L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points10
180Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.10.6
100.299.6
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
red by 38.1
4635
#14
62.90.6
62.162.6
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End9.3
Second
81.20.6
80.379.8
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
red by 52.9
28.30.6
27.428.0
Auto4.1
Teleop20.9
End3.3
Third
9181
#34
24.70.6
24.924.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End8.2
blue by 2.1
5427
#17
26.90.6
26.026.6
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7